A.M. Best: U.S. P/C Industry Results Rebound- From the Insurance Journal-

The U.S. property/casualty industry reported a strong fourth quarter topping off a solid year, according to rating analysts.

Net income climbed to $31.1 billion in 2009, driven by improved underwriting results, the continued recovery of the financial markets and disciplined capital management, said A.M. Best Co.

The rating agency said the industry’s underwriting results were buoyed by a quiet hurricane season, significant reserve releases and a sizable reduction in underwriting losses in the mortgage and financial guaranty segments. The industry’s much improved investment returns were driven by the significant upturn in the financial markets in 2009.

The rating agency noted that for the first time in A.M. Best Co.’s recorded history, net premiums written (NPW) have declined in three consecutive years. NPW fell approximately 5.9% to $419.3 billion in 2009.

The industry’s combined ratio improved to 101.2 in 2009, down approximately 3.0 percentage points from 104.0 recorded in 2008.

Overall net investment gains also increased approximately 31 percent to $43.5 billion in 2009 from $33.1 billion in 2008.

A.M. Best’s data shows the industry recognized about $11.0 billion of favorable prior year loss reserve development in 2009.

Also, the agency reported that the U.S. P/C industry’s policyholders’ surplus position rebounded by approximately 9 percent to $519.3 billion in 2009 from $477.2 billion at year-end 2008.

“The overall industry’s conservative operating strategy and effective capital management leave it sufficiently capitalized to navigate the underwriting cycle and volatility in the financial markets, but challenges remain,” A.M. Best wrote in its special report.

Source: A.M. Best Company www.ambest.com

Original Article here- http://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2010/04/26/109289.htm

While watching the NFL playoffs a few weeks ago I saw a commercial that really struck me as relevant.  The commercial (watch below) shows an established barbershop that has a competitor open up across the street offering 6 dollar haircuts.  Initially the new shop takes his business away but then the older shop gets a sign made that says “Fixes 6 dollar haircuts.”

While I don’t usually gather wisdom from commercials, this hit home for me and what we do at RSI.  We fix “6 dollar inspections”. The commercial is not about price, it’s about quality. At RSI we have managed to produce high quality inspections at an economical price. Many companies (in any industry) have difficulty providing both price and quality (we have had 40 years of experience doing so.) I have countless clients that have come to us because the inspection that someone else did for them was sub-par. It missed hazards in plain view, the square footage was off etc.  To save a few dollars on an inspection, what are you willing to risk?  A $100,000 claim?  A $1,000,000?  Can we prevent every loss, no.  No inspection company can.  What we can do is provide you with an accurate inspection that will be more valuable to your underwriting process then others.

Jobs growth expected as insurers foresee higher revenues-

From- BusinessInsurance.com

Nearly half of the insurers participating in a recent insurance industry labor market study indicate they plan to add employees in 2010, largely to address anticipated business growth.

And, contrary to the views of many industry analysts, the Jacobson/Ward Group Insurance Industry Labor Market Study finds a healthy majority of the insurance companies surveyed anticipate revenue growth this year.

The survey, conducted in January by the Chicago-based staffing and executive search firm Jacobson Group and Cincinnati-based consulting firm Ward Group, collected information from 150 U.S. insurance companies. It’s the second such survey, with Jacobson and Ward planning to conduct the surveys each January and July.

In the most recent survey, “44% of the companies surveyed expect to increase staff in 2010, while only 13% expect to decrease staff,” said Greg Jacobson, co-CEO of the Jacobson Group in Chicago. “In particular, sales and marketing positions have the greatest likelihood of staff expansion.”

In the July 2009 Jacobson/Ward survey, 34% of companies indicated they planned to add staff. Meanwhile, 22% of those surveyed in July anticipated staff reductions.

“We do expect fewer staff reductions and, in general, there are not many substantial layoffs expected,” said Jeff Rieder, president of Ward Group in Cincinnati. In the January survey, “only two companies expected to make staffing reductions greater than 10%,” he said, with both of those the result of reorganizations rather than declines in business volume.

Of companies planning to reduce staff in the January survey, 27% attributed the reductions to automation improvements and 19% said the cuts would address areas of the business that were overstaffed.

“We also expect staffing increases to proceed at a greater rate in 2010 than 2009,” Mr. Rieder said. “National carriers are 15% more likely to be adding staff than their regional counterparts.”

In addition, “I was very surprised to see that 63% of companies expected revenue increases in 2010,” Mr. Rieder said. “It’s counter to what many outside analysts and experts project.” The figure is up from 54% of companies that anticipated revenue increases in the July 2009 survey.

“Companies are more optimistic about their own results than the outside experts are,” the Ward Group president said. “That may also be why they’re projecting growth in staff.”

Companies surveyed reported the most difficulty recruiting actuarial employees and executives, but those surveyed in January generally indicated it was easier to recruit needed talent than companies reported last July. Recruiting technology employees also remains a challenge, according to the January survey, particularly for regional insurers.

The January survey also found that property/casualty companies reported 12% greater difficulty in recruiting needed staff than did life/health companies. That difference might reflect the fact that there is a larger pool from which to recruit in the life/health side of the industry than in the property/casualty side, Mr. Rieder said. “The data really show you that recruiting is not easy for property/casualty.”

The 150 insurance company participants in the January Jacobson/Ward study averaged 1,516 employees. Of the participants, 122 were property/casualty companies and 28 were life/health.

Ultimately, based on the January survey results, Jacobson and Ward project a nearly 2% increase in U.S. insurance industry employment in 2010, resulting in approximately 26,500 new jobs, based on a baseline of nearly 1.4 million insurance company employees.

“I think we’re really excited about being able to come up with a number like that,” Mr. Jacobson said. “We believe that this is the only study that gives a forward-looking insight into the insurance industry’s labor market.”

From- http://www.businessinsurance.com/article/20100214/ISSUE01/302149981

Over the last few days everyone at RSI has been deeply moved watching devastation caused by the earthquake in Haiti. As we feel it is our duty to try to help in our own small way we will be donating 5% of all orders this month to Haiti relief. You don’t have to do anything to participate as automatically 5% of anything you order (or have already ordered) this month will be donated to the relief efforts.

We believe that even if we can make a small difference this is important and we are glad to have customers like you that support us in these efforts.

We will post updates on our blog (http://www.rsireports.com/wordpress) and details about where the money will be donated at the end of the month. Right now we are evaluating different organizations to see where we believe the most immediate help can be given. Some organizations we are looking at are http://www.clintonbushhaitifund.org & http://www.redcross.org

Thanks so much for your continued support and please let me know if you have any questions.

Sincerely,

Dave Tobias & Everyone at RSI

www.rsireports.com

1-800-541-5496

dtobias@rsireports.com

Underwriting is becoming more important as Insurance Companies cannot look for profit form the stock market.  Insurance inspections are a crucial part of the underwriting process.

By Andrew G. Simpson – Article from the Insurance Journal LINK

January 12, 2010

The most recent reports of property/casualty insurers indicate a return to profits, thanks in large measure to a quiet hurricane season. But behind the rosy reports is a thorny problem — lower investment income.

According to Dr. Robert Hartwig, president and economist at the Insurance Information Institute, insurers’ investment income fell 50 percent in 2008 and has been down again in 2009, so it’s something insurers have got to get used to.

“It’s dropping again in 2009 and those numbers aren’t going to rebound tremendously over the next several years. The reason for that is because interest rates are so much lower. The Federal Reserve is committed to keeping interest rates low. And insurers are going to invest in the lowest risk assets. So they’re just not going to generate that much in the way of investment return for years to come,” he told Insurance Journal in a recent interview.

There’s also another reason investments will be down.

“They’ve also de-risked their portfolios to a significant extent. So they’re not riding the stock market recovery as much as, perhaps, they rode it on the way down. So this is all going to temper investment earnings. Not just last year, not just in 2009, not just in 2010, but beyond.”

This investment outlook puts the pressure on insurers to appropriately price and underwrite their products.

“[T]hey have just two sources of revenue. They have premium and they have investment earnings,” he said. “The expected losses remain the same, whether we’re talking about a hurricane or an auto claim or a medical malpractice claim. The earnings on investments are going to be impacted by the current investment environment, but the losses are not.”

So the question becomes whether insurers are incorporating the new investment reality into their pricing.

“We’ve not seen that happen yet. Ultimately that reality, will have to be reflected,” answered Hartwig.

He added that it’s important that regulators, who monitor and in many cases approve rates, understand this changed investment environment as well. They have grown accustomed to insurers keeping premiums lower by offsetting losses with investment returns.

“Today, the industry is earning less in investment earnings than it was 20 years ago. And so that premium to meet the expected losses has to come from someplace,” Harwtig said.

Capital Availability

While the outlook for investment income is a concern, Hartwig has a more positive assessment of the availability of capital in the industry these days, an availability that could become important should a major catastrophe drain insurers’ coffers. He said capital markets have thawed from just a year ago.

“[A]s we approach the end of 2009 and move into 2010, the capital markets have shown once again that they do have an appetite for risk and I do believe that if the industry needed to raise the sums that it raised in the wake of Katrina, or the wake of September 11^th– where the industry raised on the order of $25 to $30 billion plus after each one of those events within a short span of time– it would be able to do it today. Maybe at somewhat higher costs, and maybe not quite as quickly, but it would be able to do it.”

That, he says, is a big change from a year ago, in the fourth quarter of 2008 or even in the first quarter of 2009, where credit markets and capital markets were effectively frozen and it would have been very difficult for the industry to raise much capital on short notice at reasonable terms.

“So, we did dodge a bullet,” he said.

Uneven Recovery

As nation’s economic recovery unfolds, it is likely to be uneven across the country and within markets, presenting both challenges and opportunities for the property/casualty insurance industry, according to the insurance industry economist.

Hartwig believes the recovery is real. There are encouraging signs including slight growth in the gross domestic product (GDP) and a slowdown in unemployment claims. The economy still needs more time to recover from what has been a very deep recession.

Hartwig noted that the recovery has taken hold first on Wall Street more than anywhere else.

“We’ve seen the stock market up more than 50 percent since it’s March lows. We’re starting to see banks and insurance companies report profits whereas a year ago they were reporting significant losses,” Hartwig said.

Yet there is a disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street.

“We’re seeing a lot of bankruptcies of small and medium sized businesses. We’re seeing difficulty for small businesses that want to expand or hire new workers to obtain credit from banks,” he said.

According to Hartwig, employment typically lags behind Wall Street and other indicators for a quarter or two before it begins to improve.

“So if the recession officially ended at the end of June or the end of July, we could expect the unemployment rate to continue to rise through the first quarter of next year and potentially into the early part of the second quarter, “ he said.

Regional Recovery

What’s happening on Wall Street versus Main Street is not the only gap. Just as some parts of the country were harder hit by the recession, some regions will be slower to recover than others, according to the III leader.

“It’s going to be a very uneven recovery across the country. Some parts of the country were hit much harder by this economic downturn than others, particularly those parts of the country that benefited from the economic boom, specifically in housing,” he said. “So states like California, Florida, Nevada, Arizona, are going to be slower to recover because they went so deeply into the recession; they suffered the worse of the collapse. For as home price are stabilizing or even increasing in some parts of the country now, places that benefited the most from the housing boom are still seeing their prices fall. So states like California may not see a recovery begin until two years after the official end of the recession in the summer of 2009. “

Some states are doing quite well already.

“Many of the resource intensive, and natural resource intensive, energy intensive states, basically in a swath from Texas up through the agricultural heartland, through the Mountain states, up to the Canadian border, these states are doing rather well. Most did not participate in the boom, but they’re also a natural resource intensive and with the high price of natural resources throughout most of this economic downturn, they’ve done quite well, “ he said.

Future Economy

While a recession destroys many businesses, new businesses and even industries can grow out of a downturn, too. Hartwig suggests there are several industries that are growing and will need insurance solutions in the years ahead.

One promising sector is energy.

“Ten years ago, nobody was insuring windmills, hardly, and today they are. No one was insuring arrays of solar panels in the desert, and today they do. The solutions are there and insurers are willing to participate,” he said.

The growth won’t just be in new or green energy. “Traditional energy as well. We’re going to continue to have increase in demand for energy. No matter what you hear about the green revolution, the majority of energy demands in the future are going to be met through fossil fuels, particularly through natural gas,” Hartwig told Insurance Journal.

According to the III chief, insurers and brokers with a construction focus stand to gain from government funding on infrastructure projects.

“We’re going to have to continue to develop the infrastructure. We’re talking about big demand. But we’re also talking about a lot of funds being funneled through government and we’re talking about infrastructure projects.”

Finally, Hartwig is also high on export-oriented risks, including those in manufacturing, agriculture and natural resources that benefit from the low dollar. “[T]he low dollar, while it might be a bit of a record low against the euro right now, and it may come off of that low, the reality is that the low dollar’s here to stay for quite some period of time. That’s going to benefit export-oriented businesses,” he said.

Everyone at RSI Insurance Inspections would like to wish you and yours a Happy (and safe) Holiday and prosperous New Year!

An interesting article from the insurance journal about the 7 fastest growing industries and what they require in terms of insurance.  This info is useful form Insurance Companies, MGA’s and Surplus Lines brokers in planning who to market to and with what products.  At RSI we are always looking at where the market is going and where it has been so we can make sure we are positioned to inspect those types of risks.

Do you think the industries listed in the article will actually see major growth?  Let us know what you think in the comments section below.

(Link to the article http://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2009/12/23/106182.htm)

As we are always out and about speaking to Insurance Companies, MGA’s and Surplus Lines Brokers we have recently been hearing a positive outlook about the Insurance market.   Now it looks like there is some actual numbers to back up what we have heard.  I have included the article below and you can view it here as well.

P&C Insurers Report Slight Underwriting Gain in Q3-Alex Vorro

While it’s not necessarily reason for insurers to throw up their hands and crack open the champagne, a preliminaryreview by SNL Financial of Q3 statutory financial data for U.S. property/casualty insurers found modest improvement in underwriting profitability and additional stabilization through realized and unrealized capital gains.

With data available for nearly 88% of expected P&C filers, the industry (excluding financial and mortgage guarantor companies) is on pace to report a $536.0 million underwriting gain in Q3 2009, an encouraging sign when compared to the $7.7 billion loss the industry experienced during the same period in 2008, SNL says. Losses and expenses totaled $93.7 million, down from $107.2 million at this time last year. The loss ratio, defined as losses and LAE (loss adjustment expense) to net premiums written, fell by nearly 9 percentage points to 71.7%.

“Fortunately for P&C insurers, there was no Hurricane Gustav or Ike this season,” said Jon Wright, director of the insurance group at SNL. “With the economy still weak and premiums written dropping off further, it was very fortunate that catastrophic losses were minimal. The soft market has to continue at this point with an industry seemingly flush with surplus capital.”

The combined ratio for Q3 2009 was 99.1%, and realized capital gains topped $458.8 million, an improvement compared to 107.4% and losses of $6.7 billion, respectively, for Q3 2008. However, overall profitability was tempered by a decline in net premiums earned, down 5.2% year-over-year.

From InsuranceNetworking.com